Festival Talking Point: Henderson Stable lad wins £1 million

Whilst Nicky Henderson and connections stole the show as far as success was concerned at the 2012 Cheltenham Festival it was one of his stable hands who stole the show off the course.

Conor Murphy, an unassuming Irishman who lives in Lambourn and looks after the interests of new Queen Mother Champion Chaser, Finian’s Rainbow, at the Seven Barrows stable won himself over £1m after placing a £50 accumulator on five ofHenderson’s runners at the Cheltenham Festival. All five won!

It is true that he had to use a little bit of guesswork but if he had any inside information as to which race Simonsig would run in, he should be forgiven, as he backed him to win the Neptune Novice Hurdle, when most thought that he would run in the ‘Supreme Novice’.

His wins came with Sprinter Sacre in the Arkle Chase who was around the 7/1 mark when backed by Murphy but went off as the 8/11 odds on favourite. Next came Simonsig, who was a 20/1 shot when backed but had shortened into 2/1 favouritism by the time of the off. RSA Chase winner, Bobs Worth was backed at 6/1 and went in at 4’s. Murphy’s own yard horse Finian’s Rainbow won the Queen Mother Champion Chase at 12/1, a win which must have had Murphy gutted as it looked like he was going to get beat by defending champion, Sizing Europe. The bet and the million pound win however was secure once Riverside Theatre managed to hold another defending champion, Albertas Run in the Ryanair Chase at odds of 16/1 antepost but went off as the 7/2 favourite.

Of course having stable knowledge does help, otherwise surely he would have backed Long Run to win the Gold Cup but perhaps the canny lad’s instincts knew best and forced him to resist the temptation of a six horse accumulator.

Quite understandably, Conor is not seeking further publicity and latest reports has suggested that he has gone into hiding but those who know him believe  that he will be back at work this morning looking after Finian’s Rainbow and mucking and riding out with the rest of the team.

Great credit must be extended to the Bet365 Bookmakers who took and laid the bet, they did not seek to capitalise on the PR front preferring to respect the fact that account holder’s details should be respected and that the client should remain officially unexposed.

Overall, the ‘Festival’ was a reasonable betting encounter between punters and Bookmakers although the latter benefited hugely with the defeats of a number of hot favourites, some which were defending their crowns. Long Run went down at 7/4, Boston Bob failed to land the Albert Bartlett with odds of 6/5, Peddlers Cross failed again this time in the Jewson with odds of 5/2, while 6/5 Grands Crus could only manage fourth place in the RSA Chase. Sizing Europe was unlucky but only came second when 4/5 odds on, while Hurricane Fly, perhaps the best backed favourite of them all at 4/6 failed to fire in the Champion Hurdle, beaten by Rock On Ruby and Overturn.

Of those defending their crown sonly Quevega in the Mares Hurdle and Big Bucks in the World Hurdle were successful.

Too Early To Write Off Master Minded

The Bookmakers have been very quick to write off the chances of the Paul Nicholls trained, Master Minded winning the Grade One King George Chase at Kempton Park on Boxing Day, but are they being too hasty?

The eight year old did run poorly last Saturday when last of three in the Grade Two Old Roan Chase at Aintree behind Albertas Run and outsider, Pure Faith, but we forget that the ‘Old Roan’ was a Limited Handicap and he was giving 10lbs away to the first two home. The three mile trip of the King George  has been a concern for his connections, but based on this run alone, his chances should not be so readily dismissed.

Master Minded of course has been written off before (at least twice!) and yet last season he bounced back with four wins from five starts, three of them at Grade One level and the other a Grade Two. Admittedly he ran poorly at Cheltenham in the Champion Chase behind Sizing Europe, but three weeks later he had Albertas Run 9 lengths behind in the Grade One Melling Chase over the same course and distance as the ‘Old Roan’ when the two raced at level weights! He also beat Albertas Run last season in the Amlin Chase when the dual Ryanair winner fell.

What was difficult to understand with regard to last Saturday’s run was his below par jumping performance, he seemed to lose concentration at several fences and although never in danger of falling, he did hit a few. This might well be a second reason why he ran poorly and with jockey, Ruby Walsh understandably not wanting to fall foul of the Stewards by contravening the new whip rule, we probably never saw anything like the best of the horse, who only three years ago was being hailed as the best chaser in the National Hunt. Walsh did make a comment regarding the horse’s fitness, but earlier in the week, reports from Ditcheat suggested that he was pleasing trainer, Nicholls and in fine form.

The plan for Master Minded has not altered as far as Nicholls is concerned, he will still be aimed at a tilt at the King George, but he is likely to have one more run beforehand. To that end, the Bookmakers have cut his odds for the Christmas highlight to 7/1 from 4/1, while shortening reigning King George and Gold Cup champion, Long Run into 4/5 odds on.

As far as the Cheltenham Festival is concerned, the Ryanair Chase looks still the likely target for Master Minded, a race which of course Albertas Run will be trying to win for a third successive year. Nicholls has long expressed doubts about his charge getting a three mile trip, which makes his tilt at the King George a very experimental one, regardless of his current form. Having been beaten so clearly in the last two Champion Chases; it would appear that the Ryanair over 2m5f is his only Cheltenham alternative. The Bookmakers make him only the third favourite to win that race with odds of 10/1, while the antepost favourite, Nobel Prince, trained by Paul Nolan is a 7/1 chance with Albertas Run also on 10/1. However, it must not be ruled out that a win in the Kempton Park feature on Boxing Day could well bring him in to the Gold Cup reckoning.

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